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Land Transformation Model
Stream Health Model
Spatially Explicit Nutrient Sources
L-THIA Model
Food Web Model

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Developed by Dr. Brian Pijanowski (Purdue University)


Use the Land Transformation Model to understand what the land cover will look like in your community in the future under three different land use scenarios: business as usual, rapid urban expansion, and biofuels expansion. The model uses past trends of land use change to predict future land use cover types.


  • Project land uses in 2020, 2030, 2040, and 2050 based on patterns of land use change
  • Compare current and future land cover types in your watershed
  • Save and print maps and data for planning and decision making

About the Model

Additional Information


  1. Pijanowski, B. C., Brown, D. G., Shellito, B. A., & Manik, G. A. (2002). Using neural networks and GIS to forecast land use changes: A Land Transformation Model. Computers, Environment and Urban Systems, 26(6), 553-575. doi:10.1016/s0198-9715(01)00015-1
  2. Pijanowski, B. C., & Robinson, K. D. (2011). Rates and patterns of land use change in the Upper Great Lakes States, USA: A framework for spatial temporal analysis. Landscape and Urban Planning, 102(2), 102-116. doi:10.1016/j.landurbplan.2011.03.014
  3. Tayyebi, A., Pekin, B. K., Pijanowski, B. C., Plourde, J. D., Doucette, J. S., & Braun, D. (2013). Hierarchical modeling of urban growth across the conterminous USA: Developing meso-scale quantity drivers for the Land Transformation Model. Journal of Land Use Science, 8(4), 422-442. doi:10.1080/1747423x.2012.675364

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